Here's the new NOAA NWS National Hurricane Center map with Kirk fairly imminent in the next day or so. They are still at 50% within the next 7 days regarding development in the Caribbean/Gulf.
I have included the new GFS ensembles map for 8 AM on October 8th and a close-up for the Gulf. Lots of uncertainty in timing, track, and strength, but most are not too strong. I'll post the new Euro ensembles before 4 PM EDT.
Depending on the Gulf development, the one behind future Kirk will probably become Leslie, so anything in the Gulf would then likely be Milton.
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