- A huge difference in weather conditions as you head east on Long Island and in southern New England today into tomorrow with it being sunny, a little breezy, and warmer farther west and cloudy and windy with rain as you head into eastern MA and possibly eastern Long Island. See 4th and 5th images for rain and wind maps.
- Cooler weather overall from Sunday into the middle of next week before some rain approaches for Long Island and the northeast by the middle to end of next week.
- The NOAA NWS National Hurricane Center is still at a 40% chance of tropical development in the western Caribbean Sea into the southern Gulf of Mexico in the next 7 days. While many models and ensembles show a hurricane forming, it's still not a lock. I have included the maps from the Euro ensembles and GFS ensembles below, and for now we just have to wait and watch it. Also, there will be more action in October, of course.
- 1st and 2nd images: Euro ensembles and GFS ensembles
- 3rd image: Map from the National Hurricane Center
- 4th and 5th images: Rainfall from the HRRR model through 2 AM Sunday and max wind gusts through tomorrow morning
- 6th image: Model Blend rainfall map for the entire country for the next 10 days
- 7th image: Long Island temperatures for the next 15 days from the Euro ensembles
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