Brief 3:45 AM post: NHC still at 80% and you can see the tracks from the Euro ensembles (2nd image) and GFS ensembles (3rd image) for the next 10 days, and I like the Euro tracks better. Cold...

...tonight (4th image) with a Frost Advisory for Suffolk on Long Island, and clocks go back one hour at 2 AM. Warm again for Wednesday next week (see last image for Long Island temps for the next 15 days). Not much rain for the Mid-Atlantic and northeast the next 7 days (see 5th image). Next better chance for Long Island and the northeast is Nov 11th. Very early signs of a northeast storm around Nov 15th/16th.