- Happy Veterans Day! Honoring all of those that have served! Thank you all for your service to our country!
- The National Hurricane Center is now up to a 30% chance of tropical development in the western Caribbean within the next 7 days, and that will continue to gradually increase as it looks like a good chance for Sara to form this weekend! I have posted the Euro ensembles and GFS ensembles below, and you can see that some of them bring it northward towards Florida. The main Euro run bring it near the Florida Keys as a pretty strong hurricane. Some Euro ensemble members have it shoot to the ENE a little earlier, but maybe if it misses that window it will head north. Lots of uncertainty still, so stay tuned.
- The rain is ending from west to east early this morning for Long Island and it will be mostly sunny, mild, and breezy this afternoon. A secondary cold front comes through tonight with no rain, but it will be windy, and the wind will stick around into tomorrow night, and it will be very cold tomorrow night and Wednesday night.
- There will be 2 systems later this week, but the first will be very weak and pass mostly south of Long Island, so we should remain dry. Then there will be a big ocean storm that will be retrograding westward closer to Nova Scotia and the New England coast. It had a chance to bring some rain to New England with freezing rain in the mountains Friday night (see 7th image). I'll continue to watch this and post updates.
- 1st image: My Long Island forecast
- 2nd image: Veterans Day
- 3rd image: Projected storm locations and strengths at 7 AM Saturday from the Euro ensemble members
- 4th image: NHC map
- 5th and 6th images: GFS ensembles and Euro ensembles for potential Sara
- 7th image: Maps from half of the Euro ensemble members at 1 AM Saturday
- 8th image: Long Island temps for the next 2 weeks
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