POSTS | MyPersonalWeatherman

Here are the new Model Blend snow and precipitation maps for the next 10 days:

My Personal Weatherman™

Oct 28, 20240 min read

Here are the new Model Blend snow and precipitation maps for the next 10 days:

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***Hurricane 🌀 chances slowly increasing and also the Long Island forecast with a few chances for rain 🌧 over the next 9 days***

My Personal Weatherman™

Oct 28, 20241 min read

Hurricane 🌀 chances slowly increasing and also the Long Island forecast with a few chances for rain 🌧 over the next 9 days

- A cold start this morning in the northeast, but a big warming trend this week with a very warm Halloween . - The chances for rain come...

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Here's the NOAA NWS National Hurricane Center map and also the new GFS ensembles for November 6th. I'll have a full update, including the new Euro ensembles, by 4:45 AM EDT tomorrow.

My Personal Weatherman™

Oct 28, 20240 min read

Here's the NOAA NWS National Hurricane Center map and also the new GFS ensembles for November 6th. I'll have a full update, including the new Euro ensembles, by 4:45 AM EDT tomorrow.

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Here are the new Euro ensembles for the next 15 days with not a lot of the 50 ensemble members showing a hurricane, but still something to keep an eye on.

My Personal Weatherman™

Oct 27, 20240 min read

Here are the new Euro ensembles for the next 15 days with not a lot of the 50 ensemble members showing a hurricane, but still something to keep an eye on.

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National Hurricane Center up to 40% now, and I have also included the AccuWeather map.

My Personal Weatherman™

Oct 27, 20240 min read

National Hurricane Center up to 40% now, and I have also included the AccuWeather map.

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National Hurricane Center up to 30% and the GFS ensembles remain more bullish than the Euro ensembles.

My Personal Weatherman™

Oct 27, 20240 min read

National Hurricane Center up to 30% and the GFS ensembles remain more bullish than the Euro ensembles.

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National Hurricane Center finally adds it:

My Personal Weatherman™

Oct 26, 20240 min read

National Hurricane Center finally adds it:

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My Personal Weatherman™

Oct 26, 20240 min read

Rainfall for the next 7 days:

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Elevated fire risk with the windy and very dry conditions this afternoon, cool conditions before the warm Halloween. Rainfall map for the next 9 days in the 4th image, and the Euro...

My Personal Weatherman™

Oct 26, 20241 min read

Elevated fire risk with the windy and very dry conditions this afternoon, cool conditions before the warm Halloween. Rainfall map for the next 9 days in the 4th image, and the Euro...

... ensembles (5th image) are much less bullish than the GFS ensembles (6th image) on the potential Caribbean hurricane.

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New GFS ensembles (15-day map) starting to come back to reality with fewer strong ones and now looking a little more like the Euro ensembles, although the GFS ensembles are still more bullish on...

My Personal Weatherman™

Oct 25, 20241 min read

New GFS ensembles (15-day map) starting to come back to reality with fewer strong ones and now looking a little more like the Euro ensembles, although the GFS ensembles are still more bullish on...

... tropical development. Still nothing on the 7-day map from the National Hurricane Center.

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***Same old story: GFS ensembles still more bullish for the potential hurricane. Nothing from the NHC yet. No rain coming for Long Island really for another 10 days, but at least cooler before the...

My Personal Weatherman™

Oct 25, 20241 min read

***Same old story: GFS ensembles still more bullish for the potential hurricane. Nothing from the NHC yet. No rain coming for Long Island really for another 10 days, but at least cooler before the...

...big warm-up with mid 70's on Halloween!*** GFS ensembles: Euro ensembles:

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We have a chance at the record in New York City. Might as well go for it. 11 more days to tie it and the 2nd image is the Model Blend rainfall map for the next 10 days.

My Personal Weatherman™

Oct 24, 20240 min read

We have a chance at the record in New York City. Might as well go for it. 11 more days to tie it and the 2nd image is the Model Blend rainfall map for the next 10 days.

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My Personal Weatherman™

Oct 24, 20241 min read

New ensembles!

New maps as the GFS ensembles continue to more bullish on the potential early November hurricane than the Euro ensembles, especially when...

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Here's the newly-issued Drought Monitor map, which covers conditions as of 8 AM on Tuesday:

My Personal Weatherman™

Oct 24, 20240 min read

Here's the newly-issued Drought Monitor map, which covers conditions as of 8 AM on Tuesday:

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***What else is new... essentially no rain on the horizon for Long Island, temperatures are up and down with a cold start Monday morning and a warm Halloween🎃, and the GFS ensembles are still more...

My Personal Weatherman™

Oct 24, 20241 min read

***What else is new... essentially no rain on the horizon for Long Island, temperatures are up and down with a cold start Monday morning and a warm Halloween🎃, and the GFS ensembles are still more...

... bullish than the Euro ensembles for the potential early November hurricane🌀 in the Caribbean.*** - Little to no rain for Long Island...

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***GFS ensembles (1st image) and now also the Euro ensembles (2nd image) are more bullish than previous runs for the potential early November hurricane starting in the Caribbean. These maps go out...

My Personal Weatherman™

Oct 23, 20241 min read

***GFS ensembles (1st image) and now also the Euro ensembles (2nd image) are more bullish than previous runs for the potential early November hurricane starting in the Caribbean. These maps go out...

... 15 days. Nothing is imminent. Stay tuned!***

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The new GFS run shows basically no rain for another 16 days at least:

My Personal Weatherman™

Oct 23, 20240 min read

The new GFS run shows basically no rain for another 16 days at least:

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***Dry weather continues for most, Red Flag Warning, the Long Island forecast, 3 cold fronts, Halloween, and an update on the potential early November Caribbean hurricane***

My Personal Weatherman™

Oct 23, 20241 min read

Dry weather continues for most, Red Flag Warning, the Long Island forecast, 3 cold fronts, Halloween, and an update on the potential early November Caribbean hurricane

- Not quite as warm today for Long Island with the southerly wind and it will be more humid, but still getting to near 70 degrees. Can't...

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***Not good. Red Flag Warning for all of Connecticut tomorrow.***

My Personal Weatherman™

Oct 22, 20241 min read

Not good. Red Flag Warning for all of Connecticut tomorrow.

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are expected or occurring. A combination of strong winds, low relative...

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The GFS ensembles (1st image) remain more bullish than the Euro ensembles (2nd image) for the potential Caribbean hurricane. Still lots of time to watch it.

My Personal Weatherman™

Oct 22, 20240 min read

The GFS ensembles (1st image) remain more bullish than the Euro ensembles (2nd image) for the potential Caribbean hurricane. Still lots of time to watch it.

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Here are the new Model Blend snow and precipitation maps for the next 10 days:

***Hurricane 🌀 chances slowly increasing and also the Long Island forecast with a few chances for rain 🌧 over the next 9 days***

Here's the NOAA NWS National Hurricane Center map and also the new GFS ensembles for November 6th. I'll have a full update, including the new Euro ensembles, by 4:45 AM EDT tomorrow.

Here are the new Euro ensembles for the next 15 days with not a lot of the 50 ensemble members showing a hurricane, but still something to keep an eye on.

National Hurricane Center up to 40% now, and I have also included the AccuWeather map.

National Hurricane Center up to 30% and the GFS ensembles remain more bullish than the Euro ensembles.

National Hurricane Center finally adds it:

Rainfall for the next 7 days:

Elevated fire risk with the windy and very dry conditions this afternoon, cool conditions before the warm Halloween. Rainfall map for the next 9 days in the 4th image, and the Euro...

New GFS ensembles (15-day map) starting to come back to reality with fewer strong ones and now looking a little more like the Euro ensembles, although the GFS ensembles are still more bullish on...

***Same old story: GFS ensembles still more bullish for the potential hurricane. Nothing from the NHC yet. No rain coming for Long Island really for another 10 days, but at least cooler before the...

We have a chance at the record in New York City. Might as well go for it. 11 more days to tie it and the 2nd image is the Model Blend rainfall map for the next 10 days.

New ensembles!

Here's the newly-issued Drought Monitor map, which covers conditions as of 8 AM on Tuesday:

***What else is new... essentially no rain on the horizon for Long Island, temperatures are up and down with a cold start Monday morning and a warm Halloween🎃, and the GFS ensembles are still more...

***GFS ensembles (1st image) and now also the Euro ensembles (2nd image) are more bullish than previous runs for the potential early November hurricane starting in the Caribbean. These maps go out...

The new GFS run shows basically no rain for another 16 days at least:

***Dry weather continues for most, Red Flag Warning, the Long Island forecast, 3 cold fronts, Halloween, and an update on the potential early November Caribbean hurricane***

***Not good. Red Flag Warning for all of Connecticut tomorrow.***

The GFS ensembles (1st image) remain more bullish than the Euro ensembles (2nd image) for the potential Caribbean hurricane. Still lots of time to watch it.

Hurricane 🌀 chances slowly increasing and also the Long Island forecast with a few chances for rain 🌧 over the next 9 days

Dry weather continues for most, Red Flag Warning, the Long Island forecast, 3 cold fronts, Halloween, and an update on the potential early November Caribbean hurricane

Not good. Red Flag Warning for all of Connecticut tomorrow.