POSTS | MyPersonalWeatherman

Temperature anomalies for tomorrow and the 10-day snow and precipitation maps from the Model Blend:

My Personal Weatherman™

Nov 5, 20240 min read

Temperature anomalies for tomorrow and the 10-day snow and precipitation maps from the Model Blend:

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Update on Rafael and Long Island weather:

My Personal Weatherman™

Nov 5, 20242 min read

Update on Rafael and Long Island weather:

***Hurricane Warning for the Cayman Islands and western Cuba where Rafael will peak with gusts over 100 mph. Weakening in the Gulf with...

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***We now have Rafael and as I mentioned this possibility earlier, the NOAA NWS National Hurricane Center has increased peak winds to 100 mph and that may still be conservative!***

My Personal Weatherman™

Nov 4, 20240 min read

We now have Rafael and as I mentioned this possibility earlier, the NOAA NWS National Hurricane Center has increased peak winds to 100 mph and that may still be conservative!

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New tracks and intensity projections from various models, but remember it would very likely be much weaker if/when it gets near the central Gulf coast. Western Cuba looks to get the worst of it.

My Personal Weatherman™

Nov 4, 20240 min read

New tracks and intensity projections from various models, but remember it would very likely be much weaker if/when it gets near the central Gulf coast. Western Cuba looks to get the worst of it.

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Update on tropics with future Hurricane Rafael and also on the Long Island forecast:

My Personal Weatherman™

Nov 4, 20242 min read

Update on tropics with future Hurricane Rafael and also on the Long Island forecast:

***Update on the Long Island forecast with the cold start this morning and the warm Wednesday ahead and eventual rain, and also the...

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Brief 3:45 AM update with the NYC forecast (perfect weather for the marathon, pleasant for Election Day, record warmth for Wednesday, and little to no rain for the next 7 days) and the...

My Personal Weatherman™

Nov 3, 20241 min read

Brief 3:45 AM update with the NYC forecast (perfect weather for the marathon, pleasant for Election Day, record warmth for Wednesday, and little to no rain for the next 7 days) and the...

...National Hurricane Center at 90% for future Rafael. The general idea is that it could bring tropical storm conditions to Jamaica and...

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New Euro ensembles for the next 10 days for Invest 97L (future Rafael). Very few strong ones if/when it gets to the United States, so no big worries here.

My Personal Weatherman™

Nov 2, 20240 min read

New Euro ensembles for the next 10 days for Invest 97L (future Rafael). Very few strong ones if/when it gets to the United States, so no big worries here.

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Brief 3:45 AM post: NHC still at 80% and you can see the tracks from the Euro ensembles (2nd image) and GFS ensembles (3rd image) for the next 10 days, and I like the Euro tracks better. Cold...

My Personal Weatherman™

Nov 2, 20241 min read

Brief 3:45 AM post: NHC still at 80% and you can see the tracks from the Euro ensembles (2nd image) and GFS ensembles (3rd image) for the next 10 days, and I like the Euro tracks better. Cold...

...tonight (4th image) with a Frost Advisory for Suffolk on Long Island, and clocks go back one hour at 2 AM. Warm again for Wednesday...

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***New GFS ensembles for Wednesday evening next week.***

I'll have a brief update by 4 AM tomorrow with the new Euro ensembles, GFS ensembles, and NHC map.

My Personal Weatherman™

Nov 2, 20240 min read

New GFS ensembles for Wednesday evening next week. I'll have a brief update by 4 AM tomorrow with the new Euro ensembles, GFS ensembles, and NHC map.

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My Personal Weatherman™

Nov 1, 20240 min read

The next 7 days:

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***Welcome to November! Increasing chance of Patty. Close to 80 degrees on Long Island this afternoon with a Red Flag Warning and then a cool weekend and warm again mid next week.***

My Personal Weatherman™

Nov 1, 20241 min read

Welcome to November! Increasing chance of Patty. Close to 80 degrees on Long Island this afternoon with a Red Flag Warning and then a cool weekend and warm again mid next week.

- The National Hurricane Center is still at 60% for the potential system to develop in the Caribbean within the next 7 days, but the Euro...

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🔥🔥🔥RED FLAG WARNING with rapidly dropping humidity tomorrow afternoon on Long Island with the humidity potentially dropping below 20% between 3:30 PM and 5:00 PM with wind gusts up to 25 to 35 mph.

My Personal Weatherman™

Oct 31, 20240 min read

🔥🔥🔥RED FLAG WARNING with rapidly dropping humidity tomorrow afternoon on Long Island with the humidity potentially dropping below 20% between 3:30 PM and 5:00 PM with wind gusts up to 25 to 35 mph.

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Getting closer to Patty!

NOAA NWS National Hurricane Center 7-day map along with the Euro ensembles and GFS ensembles for the next 14 days:

My Personal Weatherman™

Oct 31, 20240 min read

Getting closer to Patty! NOAA NWS National Hurricane Center 7-day map along with the Euro ensembles and GFS ensembles for the next 14 days:

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***Welcome to the very warm Halloween! Slowly increasing chance of Patty (NHC at 50% now). Cool/chilly weekend in the northeast, another warm front early next week with a few showers leads to...

My Personal Weatherman™

Oct 31, 20241 min read

***Welcome to the very warm Halloween! Slowly increasing chance of Patty (NHC at 50% now). Cool/chilly weekend in the northeast, another warm front early next week with a few showers leads to...

... mid-week warmth, and still not a lot of rain overall for Long Island/southeastern New England.*** - 1st image: My Long Island...

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7-day precipitation map and the New York City headlines/forecast with 80 degrees for Halloween, nice and cool for the marathon, and good weather for Election Day:

My Personal Weatherman™

Oct 30, 20240 min read

7-day precipitation map and the New York City headlines/forecast with 80 degrees for Halloween, nice and cool for the marathon, and good weather for Election Day:

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Overview of the tropics and Long Island/ northeast weather:

My Personal Weatherman™

Oct 30, 20241 min read

Overview of the tropics and Long Island/ northeast weather:

Patty still not imminent with the NHC at 40% and the Euro ensembles less bullish than the GFS ensembles. Also, amazing warmth ahead for...

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Here are the new Euro ensembles for the next 15 days with most of them showing tropical development in around 6 to 10 days.

My Personal Weatherman™

Oct 29, 20240 min read

Here are the new Euro ensembles for the next 15 days with most of them showing tropical development in around 6 to 10 days.

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Still waiting on Patty with it being slow to form and still only a moderate chance overall, and the Long Island forecast with a few warm days ahead, a little rain, a cool weekend, and more warm...

My Personal Weatherman™

Oct 29, 20241 min read

Still waiting on Patty with it being slow to form and still only a moderate chance overall, and the Long Island forecast with a few warm days ahead, a little rain, a cool weekend, and more warm...

... weather for the middle of next week! - The NOAA NWS National Hurricane Center is still at a 40% chance of tropical development in the...

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***Waiting on Patty***

Here's the AccuWeather map along with the Euro ensembles (2nd image) and GFS ensembles (3rd image), each for the next 15 days:

My Personal Weatherman™

Oct 28, 20240 min read

Waiting on Patty Here's the AccuWeather map along with the Euro ensembles (2nd image) and GFS ensembles (3rd image), each for the next 15 days:

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Here are the new Model Blend snow and precipitation maps for the next 10 days:

My Personal Weatherman™

Oct 28, 20240 min read

Here are the new Model Blend snow and precipitation maps for the next 10 days:

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Temperature anomalies for tomorrow and the 10-day snow and precipitation maps from the Model Blend:

Update on Rafael and Long Island weather:

***We now have Rafael and as I mentioned this possibility earlier, the NOAA NWS National Hurricane Center has increased peak winds to 100 mph and that may still be conservative!***

New tracks and intensity projections from various models, but remember it would very likely be much weaker if/when it gets near the central Gulf coast. Western Cuba looks to get the worst of it.

Update on tropics with future Hurricane Rafael and also on the Long Island forecast:

Brief 3:45 AM update with the NYC forecast (perfect weather for the marathon, pleasant for Election Day, record warmth for Wednesday, and little to no rain for the next 7 days) and the...

New Euro ensembles for the next 10 days for Invest 97L (future Rafael). Very few strong ones if/when it gets to the United States, so no big worries here.

Brief 3:45 AM post: NHC still at 80% and you can see the tracks from the Euro ensembles (2nd image) and GFS ensembles (3rd image) for the next 10 days, and I like the Euro tracks better. Cold...

***New GFS ensembles for Wednesday evening next week.*** I'll have a brief update by 4 AM tomorrow with the new Euro ensembles, GFS ensembles, and NHC map.

The next 7 days:

***Welcome to November! Increasing chance of Patty. Close to 80 degrees on Long Island this afternoon with a Red Flag Warning and then a cool weekend and warm again mid next week.***

🔥🔥🔥RED FLAG WARNING with rapidly dropping humidity tomorrow afternoon on Long Island with the humidity potentially dropping below 20% between 3:30 PM and 5:00 PM with wind gusts up to 25 to 35 mph.

Getting closer to Patty! NOAA NWS National Hurricane Center 7-day map along with the Euro ensembles and GFS ensembles for the next 14 days:

***Welcome to the very warm Halloween! Slowly increasing chance of Patty (NHC at 50% now). Cool/chilly weekend in the northeast, another warm front early next week with a few showers leads to...

7-day precipitation map and the New York City headlines/forecast with 80 degrees for Halloween, nice and cool for the marathon, and good weather for Election Day:

Overview of the tropics and Long Island/ northeast weather:

Here are the new Euro ensembles for the next 15 days with most of them showing tropical development in around 6 to 10 days.

Still waiting on Patty with it being slow to form and still only a moderate chance overall, and the Long Island forecast with a few warm days ahead, a little rain, a cool weekend, and more warm...

***Waiting on Patty*** Here's the AccuWeather map along with the Euro ensembles (2nd image) and GFS ensembles (3rd image), each for the next 15 days:

Here are the new Model Blend snow and precipitation maps for the next 10 days:

We now have Rafael and as I mentioned this possibility earlier, the NOAA NWS National Hurricane Center has increased peak winds to 100 mph and that may still be conservative!

New GFS ensembles for Wednesday evening next week. I'll have a brief update by 4 AM tomorrow with the new Euro ensembles, GFS ensembles, and NHC map.

Welcome to November! Increasing chance of Patty. Close to 80 degrees on Long Island this afternoon with a Red Flag Warning and then a cool weekend and warm again mid next week.

Waiting on Patty Here's the AccuWeather map along with the Euro ensembles (2nd image) and GFS ensembles (3rd image), each for the next 15 days: