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My Personal Weatherman™
Nov 14, 20242 min read
***4:30 AM update on future Sara and Red Flag Warnings likely to return to the Long Island area tomorrow with no measurable rain expected for the next 7 days! Please see all 10 images.***
- This post is brought to you by A1 Heating & Air Conditioning, locally owned HVAC contractors on Long Island, serving all of Suffolk,...
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My Personal Weatherman™
Nov 13, 20241 min read
***New maps from the Euro ensembles, GFS ensembles, and various models with most having land interaction at least once in Central America which limits the intensity ceiling. Still a potential...
... threat for Florida next Wednesday. Lots of uncertainty and time to watch it.***
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My Personal Weatherman™
Nov 13, 20241 min read
***Update on future Hurricane Sara with a Florida landfall likely and also on the Red Flag Warnings with little to no rain expected for Long Island for the next 8 days!***
- The National Hurricane Center is at 90% and a Tropical Depression is likely to form today or tomorrow and become Sara shortly...
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My Personal Weatherman™
Nov 12, 20241 min read
***Euro ensembles and GFS ensembles for potential Hurricane Sara! Could peak as a major hurricane, and the key will be if it ends up avoiding the Yucatan or not. Potential landfall in Florida...
... looks to be approximately next Wednesday!***
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My Personal Weatherman™
Nov 12, 20242 min read
***4:35 AM update on future Hurricane Sara, the Red Flag Warnings🔥, the cold nights, the retrograding offshore storm, and more info about the upgraded Euro.***
- Quick note on the Euro upgrade: It not only has improved temperature and wind outputs, but a big change is that the 00Z and 12Z runs...
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My Personal Weatherman™
Nov 11, 20240 min read
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My Personal Weatherman™
Nov 11, 20242 min read
***4:30 AM update: Veterans Day and an update on the increasing chance of Hurricane Sara, the cold/windy shot, and the big retrograding storm for the northeast coast***
- Happy Veterans Day! Honoring all of those that have served! Thank you all for your service to our country! - The National Hurricane...
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My Personal Weatherman™
Nov 10, 20241 min read
Brief 3:30 AM update:
Cold start in the northeast and quickly becoming mild and breezy this afternoon ahead of the rain for this evening into early tomorrow...
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My Personal Weatherman™
Nov 9, 20240 min read
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My Personal Weatherman™
Nov 9, 20241 min read
Brief 3:25 AM update: Red Flag Warnings for Long Island, NYC area, and all of southern New England with breezy and dry (but chilly) conditions today (Saturday). Fire in Prospect Park in Brooklyn...
... last night (1st image); I don't know the current status. Freeze Warning for Suffolk on Long Island tonight (Saturday night). Showers...
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My Personal Weatherman™
Nov 8, 20240 min read
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My Personal Weatherman™
Nov 8, 20241 min read
***Rafael a 120 mph, 956 mb Cat 3 hurricane! RED FLAG WARNING is the big story for Long Island and nearby areas with 2 cold nights before the rain, and then another rain chance next Thursday.***
- While Rafael is a 120 mph hurricane in the Gulf, it will steadily weaken over the next few days and is really nothing to worry about...
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My Personal Weatherman™
Nov 7, 20241 min read
Update on 105 mph Hurricane Rafael, warm again today for Long Island with elevated fire danger tomorrow, chilly Saturday, some showers finally Sunday night into Monday morning:
- Hurricane Rafael is still a Category 2 hurricane, and you can see the track farther south and southwest as the Euro ensembles led the...
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My Personal Weatherman™
Nov 6, 20241 min read
***Major Hurricane Rafael with 115 mph winds making landfall in western Cuba. NOAA NWS National Hurricane Center continues to only slowly shift their track southward, and they once again state the...
... following: "It is possible that future southward and southwestward adjustment will be needed as several of the models now show the...
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My Personal Weatherman™
Nov 6, 20241 min read
110 mph and 960 mb! On the cusp of Cat 3! Dangerous landfall coming for Cuba. As I have been posting about, they continue to gradually adjust their track southward, and...
... they state... "additional southward adjustments may be needed in subsequent forecasts." Euro ensembles were all over this!
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My Personal Weatherman™
Nov 6, 20241 min read
***Rafael up to 90 mph winds and could become a major (Cat 3) hurricane by landfall in Cuba. Track shifted southwest in Gulf, but NHC adjusting track gradually. Still a chance for Sara and possibly...
... Tony to form. WARM in the northeast today with fire danger weather. Chilly Saturday and showers Sunday night into Monday morning....
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