POSTS | MyPersonalWeatherman

3:25 AM update with the new maps from the Euro ensembles, GFS ensembles, and NHC:

My Personal Weatherman™

Sep 21, 20240 min read

3:25 AM update with the new maps from the Euro ensembles, GFS ensembles, and NHC:

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My Personal Weatherman™

Sep 20, 20240 min read

New map and up to 60% now:

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There are still a bunch of really strong ones in there from the new GFS ensembles. These maps are all for 2 AM next Saturday and are 4 different ways of showing it:

My Personal Weatherman™

Sep 20, 20240 min read

There are still a bunch of really strong ones in there from the new GFS ensembles. These maps are all for 2 AM next Saturday and are 4 different ways of showing it:

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Some of you don't like seeing the ensembles I post and seeing the range of possible solutions, so here's the new GFS run for next Friday evening. It's a perfectly feasible outcome, but time will tell

My Personal Weatherman™

Sep 20, 20240 min read

Some of you don't like seeing the ensembles I post and seeing the range of possible solutions, so here's the new GFS run for next Friday evening. It's a perfectly feasible outcome, but time will tell

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New GFS ensembles for the next 10 days. Weaker and farther southwest or stronger and farther northeast. Always a mystery this far in advance when the storm is still days away from even forming.

My Personal Weatherman™

Sep 20, 20240 min read

New GFS ensembles for the next 10 days. Weaker and farther southwest or stronger and farther northeast. Always a mystery this far in advance when the storm is still days away from even forming.

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Rain and wind continues for southeastern New England with much better conditions as you head farther west, and still watching the Gulf for later next week through next weekend:

My Personal Weatherman™

Sep 20, 20241 min read

Rain and wind continues for southeastern New England with much better conditions as you head farther west, and still watching the Gulf for later next week through next weekend:

- A huge difference in weather conditions as you head east on Long Island and in southern New England today into tomorrow with it being...

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New GFS ensembles showing the potential hurricane, and there's still a large spread since it's days away from even forming, but it's pretty concerning that so many ensemble members are showing...

My Personal Weatherman™

Sep 20, 20241 min read

New GFS ensembles showing the potential hurricane, and there's still a large spread since it's days away from even forming, but it's pretty concerning that so many ensemble members are showing...

... such a strong hurricane. Magenta is below 950 mb, orange is 950 to 959 mb, and red is 960 to 979 mb.

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New Euro ensembles for the next 15 days showing the potential hurricane. Most are initially weather and farther southwest into the Bay of Campeche, and then slow movement and intensification as they..

My Personal Weatherman™

Sep 19, 20241 min read

New Euro ensembles for the next 15 days showing the potential hurricane. Most are initially weather and farther southwest into the Bay of Campeche, and then slow movement and intensification as they..

... head mostly NE or NNE. Plenty of time to watch it, so stay tuned in the coming days into next week.

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***Update on Long Island/northeast, but the big story is still that the chances for a hurricane in the Gulf continue to increase with the low/moderate potential for it to be a major hurricane***

My Personal Weatherman™

Sep 19, 20241 min read

Update on Long Island/northeast, but the big story is still that the chances for a hurricane in the Gulf continue to increase with the low/moderate potential for it to be a major hurricane

- A warm day away from the coast in the northeast with low 80's in NYC and into Nassau as the offshore storm will continue to keep it...

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Full update by 4:45 AM, but here are the new GFS ensembles, and those magenta ones are below 950 mb!

My Personal Weatherman™

Sep 19, 20240 min read

Full update by 4:45 AM, but here are the new GFS ensembles, and those magenta ones are below 950 mb!

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Up to 30% now and it will continue to increase.

My Personal Weatherman™

Sep 18, 20240 min read

Up to 30% now and it will continue to increase.

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My Personal Weatherman™

Sep 18, 20241 min read

Update on the tropics:

New Euro ensembles for the next 15 days with some members weaker and much later in developing it, but the majority eventually show a...

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My Personal Weatherman™

Sep 18, 20241 min read

Brand-new maps from the NOAA NWS National Hurricane Center (with them still at 20% for the next 7 days for the potential system in the northwestern Caribbean) and the GFS ensembles for...

...next Wednesday afternoon. See previous post for the full update, including the Euro ensembles.

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***Update on the rain for Long Island and southern New England and the potential for Hurricane Helene in the Gulf for the end of next week with plenty of maps!***

My Personal Weatherman™

Sep 18, 20241 min read

Update on the rain for Long Island and southern New England and the potential for Hurricane Helene in the Gulf for the end of next week with plenty of maps!

- The long stretch of dry weather for Long Island and southern New England will end as there will be periods of rain from this afternoon...

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New Euro rainfall map through 5 AM Saturday and video from 8 AM tomorrow to 8 AM Saturday:

My Personal Weatherman™

Sep 18, 20240 min read

New Euro rainfall map through 5 AM Saturday and video from 8 AM tomorrow to 8 AM Saturday:

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It's only potential for now, but here are the new GFS ensembles for 2 AM next Friday (September 27th). Keep in mind that there are 30 GFS ensemble members plus the control run.

My Personal Weatherman™

Sep 17, 20240 min read

It's only potential for now, but here are the new GFS ensembles for 2 AM next Friday (September 27th). Keep in mind that there are 30 GFS ensemble members plus the control run.

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Euro ensembles and official map showing a high chance of development:

My Personal Weatherman™

Sep 17, 20240 min read

Euro ensembles and official map showing a high chance of development:

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I'll post the new Euro ensembles by around 3:45 PM EDT, but here are the new GFS and Canadian runs for NEXT Thursday:

My Personal Weatherman™

Sep 17, 20240 min read

I'll post the new Euro ensembles by around 3:45 PM EDT, but here are the new GFS and Canadian runs for NEXT Thursday:

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My Personal Weatherman™

Sep 17, 20240 min read

Brand-new GFS ensembles for the next 15 days showing the potential hurricane

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Nobody cares about Gordon, and it's the only thing on the map for now as it's the calm before the potential hellish Helene.

My Personal Weatherman™

Sep 17, 20240 min read

Nobody cares about Gordon, and it's the only thing on the map for now as it's the calm before the potential hellish Helene.

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3:25 AM update with the new maps from the Euro ensembles, GFS ensembles, and NHC:

New map and up to 60% now:

There are still a bunch of really strong ones in there from the new GFS ensembles. These maps are all for 2 AM next Saturday and are 4 different ways of showing it:

Some of you don't like seeing the ensembles I post and seeing the range of possible solutions, so here's the new GFS run for next Friday evening. It's a perfectly feasible outcome, but time will tell

New GFS ensembles for the next 10 days. Weaker and farther southwest or stronger and farther northeast. Always a mystery this far in advance when the storm is still days away from even forming.

Rain and wind continues for southeastern New England with much better conditions as you head farther west, and still watching the Gulf for later next week through next weekend:

New GFS ensembles showing the potential hurricane, and there's still a large spread since it's days away from even forming, but it's pretty concerning that so many ensemble members are showing...

New Euro ensembles for the next 15 days showing the potential hurricane. Most are initially weather and farther southwest into the Bay of Campeche, and then slow movement and intensification as they..

***Update on Long Island/northeast, but the big story is still that the chances for a hurricane in the Gulf continue to increase with the low/moderate potential for it to be a major hurricane***

Full update by 4:45 AM, but here are the new GFS ensembles, and those magenta ones are below 950 mb!

Up to 30% now and it will continue to increase.

Update on the tropics:

Brand-new maps from the NOAA NWS National Hurricane Center (with them still at 20% for the next 7 days for the potential system in the northwestern Caribbean) and the GFS ensembles for...

***Update on the rain for Long Island and southern New England and the potential for Hurricane Helene in the Gulf for the end of next week with plenty of maps!***

New Euro rainfall map through 5 AM Saturday and video from 8 AM tomorrow to 8 AM Saturday:

It's only potential for now, but here are the new GFS ensembles for 2 AM next Friday (September 27th). Keep in mind that there are 30 GFS ensemble members plus the control run.

Euro ensembles and official map showing a high chance of development:

I'll post the new Euro ensembles by around 3:45 PM EDT, but here are the new GFS and Canadian runs for NEXT Thursday:

***Brand-new GFS ensembles for the next 15 days showing the potential hurricane***

Nobody cares about Gordon, and it's the only thing on the map for now as it's the calm before the potential hellish Helene.

Update on Long Island/northeast, but the big story is still that the chances for a hurricane in the Gulf continue to increase with the low/moderate potential for it to be a major hurricane

Update on the rain for Long Island and southern New England and the potential for Hurricane Helene in the Gulf for the end of next week with plenty of maps!

Brand-new GFS ensembles for the next 15 days showing the potential hurricane