- The National Weather Service wind gust map for Georgia was a joke, which is why I kept posting the HRRR wind gust map showing...

- Isaac way up north is projected to become a hurricane, but it's of no concern as it heads out. - Then there may be another tropical...

The Euro map is in knots:

Trying to give you a general idea of the maximum projected wind gusts that your area can see. These will never be exact as they can go up...

Max storm surge 15 to 20 feet!! KEY MESSAGES: 1. A catastrophic and deadly storm surge is likely along portions of the Florida Big Bend...

... north harmlessly. Stay tuned for changes; there are always changes at this range.

***New runs of hurricane models have at least Cat 4!*** HAFS-A: Smaller 921 mb borderline Cat 5! HAFS-B: Smaller 930 mb high-end Cat 4!...

From the NHC: "...upward adjustments to the forecast intensity could be required in subsequent advisories if Helene rapidly intensifies...

Full update coming around 5 AM on the My Personaol Weatherman Facebook page with the new advisory, but Helene now down to 986 mb! The 4...

From the NHC: Helene's forecast radii are at the 90th percentile of major hurricane size at similar latitudes, and therefore storm surge,...

Here are the new Euro ensembles for the next 15 days. Obviously, you can see Helene, and then the next one is way out in the Atlantic and...

F rom the NHC: Due to the forecast large size of this system, storm surge, wind, and rainfall impacts will extend well away from the...

... tracks (they are locked-in right now) and intensity estimates from various models:

- After the "off" runs by the HAFS-A and HAFS-B yesterday evening, they are back on track and show rapid intensification! Storm surge 10...