***4:20 AM update on the tropics (Hurricane Kirk, soon-to-be Leslie, and low-potential Milton for the Gulf) and the Long Island forecast...

- No real surprises with Kirk and future Leslie both becoming powerful and staying way out in the Atlantic. - Low/moderate potential for...

...Kirk, future Hurricane Leslie behind it, and potential Milton in the Gulf:

- It's hard to believe how fast time goes, but we've made it to October and I know many of you really enjoy this time of year, so try to...

- You can see future powerful Hurricanes Kirk and Leslie on the right with Leslie probably making it a bit farther west/southwest. -...

... to 40% (for the next 7 days) for the potential for Milton in the Gulf. The 2nd image shows the tropical wave to watch as it gets into...

***Tomorrow is October! 4:20 AM update on imminent Kirk, future Leslie, and the potential for Milton in the Gulf, as well as the Long...

Then you can see a weak system near Bermuda and a weak system in the Gulf. I'll have a full update very early tomorrow morning.

- No change to the general theme of imminent Kirk becoming a powerful hurricane and turning north, and then the one behind it (likely to...

Here's the new NOAA NWS National Hurricane Center map with Kirk fairly imminent in the next day or so. They are still at 50% within the...

- The NOAA NWS National Hurricane Center is still at a 50% chance of tropical development within the next 7 days. There's really only...

- As you know, Isaac and Joyce are of no concern. - The area in red will likely become Kirk and become a powerful hurricane that will...

New National NOAA NWS National Hurricane Center map with them up to 50% now for the potential future system in the Gulf (they should be...

- The GFS (2nd image) and GFS ensembles (4th image) are more bullish on the storm in the Gulf for next weekend into early the following...

Here's the new Euro ensembles map for the next 15 days, the NHC map, which will be updated shortly, and the GFS for next Saturday. Isaac...